Yes, I know it is way too early to start thinking about this stuff, but it’s fun right? BCSGURU.com produces simulated BCS Rankings every week, and they are surprisingly accurate.  For the full rankings click here.

Here is my projection based on those rankings of what the BCS bowls would look like if the season ended today:

National Championship: (1) Alabama vs (2) Texas

Rose Bowl: (5) Cal vs (7) Penn State

Orange Bowl: (8) Miami vs (10) Cincinnati

Fiesta Bowl: (6) Boise State vs (12) Oklahoma

Sugar Bowl: (3) Florida vs (11) USC

Missed out: (4) LSU, (9) Mississippi

Observations: Every single one of these games would be exciting.  A lot of this will change, but this looks pretty fun to me.  Florida vs USC might be the best of the group.  4 teams for the SEC in the top 10 really screws LSU and Ole Miss, but that happens to someone every year.  I still think Cincinnati has a real legitimate chance to play for the title.  Way too early… but why not look at it?

COLLEGE FOOTBALL: Last week 2-3 Overall 3-6 (33%)

UCLA -12 vs Kansas State

NAVY +7.5 @ Pittsburgh

CINCINNATI (-1) @ Oregon State

GEORGIA +3 @Arkansas

OREGON (-4.5) vs Utah

NFL: Last Week 2-2Overall 2-2 (50%)

GIANTS (+3.5) @ Cowboys

CARDINALS (+3.5) @ Jaguars

RAIDERS (+3) @ Chiefs

Steelers (-3) @ Bears

Last week was a rough week going 1-3 in college football, so I need to rebound this week.  As we start the NFL season, last year I was 43-20 (68%), and I’m pumped for another big year.  Here are this weeks picks.

COLLEGE FOOTBALL: Last week 1-3 (25%) Overall 1-3 (25%)

NOTRE DAME (-3) @ Michigan

TCU (-10) @ Virginia

STANFORD (+4) @ Wake Forest

BYU (-17) @ Tulane

TENNESSEE (-9.5) vs UCLA

NFL: Last Week no picks Overall 0-0 (0%)

VIKINGS (-3) @ Browns

SAINTS (-13.5) vs Lions

PATRIOTS (-10) vs Bills

CHARGERS (-9.5) @ Raiders

Here we go boys and girls.  Last year in college football I was 65% against the spread (42-23), this year I started out 0-1 after picking the Ducks, but here are the rest of this weeks games. Keep in mind, that I am not going to be held responsible for you losing your house, car, wife, and/or dog.  This is for entertainment purposes only.

CENTRAL MICHIGAN (+14.5) @ Arizona

FLORIDA STATE (-3) vs Miami

NEVADA (+17.5) @ Notre Dame

OHIO STATE (-20) vs Navy

It’s finally here, kickoff for the 2009 college football season is tonight.  The Ducks will beat Boise State.

Chip Kelly is making his debut tonight, but don’t expect much of a change.  Obviously he knows the offense… he built it.  There are clear weaknesses at wide receiver with only one player returning who caught more than 5 passes last season.  The offensive line has questions marks, but they do have some experience.

The quarterback position was a liability in this matchup last year.  Nate Costa went down before the season started, Justin Roper was hurt the week prior at Purdue, Jeremiah Masoli and Chris Harper were each hurt early against BSU.  That left true freshman Darron Thomas under center, and he did a remarkeable job.  The Ducks just didn’t figure out what they wanted to do offensively until the second half.  This year, a healthy and experienced Jeremiah Masoli, who some believe is the fourth best quarterback in the country, along with LeGarrette Blount getting the majority of the carries, this offense should be in great shape.

There is much more on the line for Boise State than there is for Oregon.  Teams with pressure in the opener, traditionally struggle.  How can a team that is the ‘underdog’, from a non-bcs conference have more to lose? Easy.  If they lose this game, there is NO chance at a BCS bowl.  The Broncos went 12-0 last year and didn’t reach one of the big 5 bowls.  If they lose, this years shot is already over.  If the Ducks lose, it is still a big deal, but not as big.  BSU has won 64 of their last 66 home games.  Oregon can still reach a BCS bowl, and still contend for a Pac-10 title, and even a national championship with a loss.

Boise State has become everbodies favorite team.  They are a smaller school, with players that are not Pac-10 talent, yet they are EXPECTED to win every year.  That is a lot of pressure.  Too much. That is reason enough they will not win this football game.

My official pick: Oregon +5.5

The rest of the weekends ATS picks come tomorrow.